PatternLedger
Market Pattern Intelligence

Backtest Evidence

Historical returns by pattern, setup, and holding period.
US & HK Equities Ranked Pattern Signals Backtest Evidence
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Methodology
CoverageResults use the current detection rules. Each pattern, setup, timeframe, and quality is reported separately.
Returns and win rateProfitable BUY and SELL trades have positive returns. Win rate is the share of completed results above zero. Each holding period has its own sample count.
  1. Signal closesSignals are confirmed at the candle close.
  2. Next-open entryEntry is at the next market-session open.
  3. Side is fixedBUY or SELL is fixed at entry.
  4. Fixed horizonsDaily studies measure 1, 3, 5, and 10 trading sessions; weekly studies measure 1, 3, 5, and 10 completed weeks.
AssumptionsReturns exclude fees and slippage. Results use the available tickers, which may exclude delisted securities. Risk disclosure.
Free Backtest Preview Signal Desk includes full returns, win rates, and signal history. CSV downloads require Pro.
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Filters

2 patterns · 12 studies
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Summary downloads match the applied filters. For individual trades, open a ticker’s Backtest History. CSV files open in Excel.

US · Daily

1 families · 2 patterns · 12 studies
Moving Averages 2 patterns · 12 studies

MA100 and MA200 are tested separately. Headline rows use actionable bounce, rejection, or reclaim states.

Evidence variant 5D preview
100/200 MA Support6 variants
MA100 support bounce confirmed at close
Strict · BUY · N 11000+ rounded
Slight positive · Unlock exact evidence
MA100 support bounce confirmed at close
Loose · BUY · N 15000+ rounded
Slight positive · Unlock exact evidence
MA100 support reclaim confirmed at close
Loose · BUY · N 26750+ rounded
Slight positive · Unlock exact evidence
MA200 support bounce confirmed at close
Strict · BUY · N 6250+ rounded
Slight positive · Unlock exact evidence
MA200 support bounce confirmed at close
Loose · BUY · N 10250+ rounded
Slight positive · Unlock exact evidence
MA200 support reclaim confirmed at close
Loose · BUY · N 16500+ rounded
Slight positive · Unlock exact evidence
100/200 MA Resistance6 variants
MA100 resistance reclaim confirmed at close
Loose · SELL · N 19000+ rounded
Mixed / weak · Unlock exact evidence
MA100 resistance rejection confirmed at close
Strict · SELL · N 6250+ rounded
Mixed / weak · Unlock exact evidence
MA100 resistance rejection confirmed at close
Loose · SELL · N 13250+ rounded
Mixed / weak · Unlock exact evidence
MA200 resistance reclaim confirmed at close
Loose · SELL · N 12750+ rounded
Mixed / weak · Unlock exact evidence
MA200 resistance rejection confirmed at close
Strict · SELL · N 3750+ rounded
Mixed / weak · Unlock exact evidence
MA200 resistance rejection confirmed at close
Loose · SELL · N 9000+ rounded
Mixed / weak · Unlock exact evidence