PatternLedger
Market Pattern Intelligence

Backtest Evidence

Historical returns by pattern, setup, and holding period.
US & HK Equities Ranked Pattern Signals Backtest Evidence
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Methodology
CoverageResults use the current detection rules. Each pattern, setup, timeframe, and quality is reported separately.
Returns and win rateProfitable BUY and SELL trades have positive returns. Win rate is the share of completed results above zero. Each holding period has its own sample count.
  1. Signal closesSignals are confirmed at the candle close.
  2. Next-open entryEntry is at the next market-session open.
  3. Side is fixedBUY or SELL is fixed at entry.
  4. Fixed horizonsDaily studies measure 1, 3, 5, and 10 trading sessions; weekly studies measure 1, 3, 5, and 10 completed weeks.
AssumptionsReturns exclude fees and slippage. Results use the available tickers, which may exclude delisted securities. Risk disclosure.
Free Backtest Preview Signal Desk includes full returns, win rates, and signal history. CSV downloads require Pro.
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Filters

3 patterns · 20 studies
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Summary downloads match the applied filters. For individual trades, open a ticker’s Backtest History. CSV files open in Excel.

US · Daily

1 families · 3 patterns · 20 studies
Channels & Boxes 3 patterns · 20 studies

Boundary holds and held upper/lower breaks are separated so Buy and Sell outcomes are never pooled.

Evidence variant 5D preview
Ascending Channel6 variants
Support-zone rejection at close
Strict · BUY · N 19000+ rounded
Slight positive · Unlock exact evidence
Support-zone rejection at close
Loose · BUY · N 96250+ rounded
Slight positive · Unlock exact evidence
Held lower break confirmed
Strict · SELL · N 3750+ rounded
Mixed / weak · Unlock exact evidence
Held lower break confirmed
Loose · SELL · N 18000+ rounded
Mixed / weak · Unlock exact evidence
Held upper break confirmed
Strict · BUY · N 1000+ rounded
Slight positive · Unlock exact evidence
Held upper break confirmed
Loose · BUY · N 6000+ rounded
Slight positive · Unlock exact evidence
Descending Channel6 variants
Resistance-zone rejection at close
Strict · SELL · N 12250+ rounded
Weak · Unlock exact evidence
Resistance-zone rejection at close
Loose · SELL · N 66250+ rounded
Mixed / weak · Unlock exact evidence
Held lower break confirmed
Strict · SELL · N 1000+ rounded
Weak · Unlock exact evidence
Held lower break confirmed
Loose · SELL · N 5250+ rounded
Mixed / weak · Unlock exact evidence
Held upper break confirmed
Strict · BUY · N 1750+ rounded
Slight positive · Unlock exact evidence
Held upper break confirmed
Loose · BUY · N 11500+ rounded
Slight positive · Unlock exact evidence
Range Box8 variants
Resistance-zone rejection at close
Strict · SELL · N 300+ rounded
Mixed / weak · Unlock exact evidence
Resistance-zone rejection at close
Loose · SELL · N 15750+ rounded
Mixed / weak · Unlock exact evidence
Support-zone rejection at close
Strict · BUY · N 250+ rounded
Slight positive · Unlock exact evidence
Support-zone rejection at close
Loose · BUY · N 13250+ rounded
Slight positive · Unlock exact evidence
Held lower break confirmed
Strict · SELL · N 75+ rounded
Weak · Unlock exact evidence
Held lower break confirmed
Loose · SELL · N 4250+ rounded
Mixed / weak · Unlock exact evidence
Held upper break confirmed
Strict · BUY · N 100+ rounded
Mixed / weak · Unlock exact evidence
Held upper break confirmed
Loose · BUY · N 4250+ rounded
Slight positive · Unlock exact evidence